A new poll from the National Republican Senatorial Committee shows GOP Rep. Bill Cassidy within the margin of error, but trailing Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in the Senate race in Louisiana. The Washington Post reports the poll—conducted by GOP firm OnMessage Inc., whose members include Gov. Bobby Jindal’s former chief of staff Timmy Teepell—has Landrieu at 45% and Cassidy at 41%. The pollster, Wes Anderson, notes in a memo that Landrieu is below the 50% mark, which is generally considered vulnerable territory for an incumbent. The results indicate that Cassidy remains much less well-known than Landrieu. However, Anderson notes that among voters who know both candidates will enough to rate them, Cassidy leads 52% to 41%. The survey also suggests that the GOP’s chief strategy during the next 15 months will be to link Landrieu to President Obama, whose approval rating in Louisiana is 37%. Just 33% of respondents favor Obama’s health-care law, while 62% oppose it—53% of them strongly. Of those polled, 42% identified themselves as Democrats; 40% as Republicans. It was conducted from Aug. 13 to Aug. 15. Landrieu is generally viewed as one of the most endangered incumbents facing re-election in 2014. But polling in her contest has been scarce. An automated survey from GOP pollster Harper Polling in April showed Landrieu at 46% and Cassidy at 41%, while a Democratic automated poll from Public Policy Polling in February showed Landrieu leading 50% to 40%. Fellow Republican Rob Maness is also in the race, but Cassidy remains the most-recognized announced GOP candidate challenging Landrieu next year.
Today’s poll question: If the election were today, who would you vote for in the 2014 Senate race for the seat currently held by Mary Landrieu?