Leading indicators rise, signal slow growth

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A private research group forecasts that the economy will grow slowly as summer transitions into fall. The Conference Board says its index of leading economic indicators rose 0.3% in June. The index had rebounded 0.8% in May after dropping 0.3% in April. That was the first decline since June 2010, as economic growth slowed. June’s reading suggests that the recent slowdown in growth won’t worsen into a recession over the next few months, even with high unemployment and a weak housing market. Many economists expect a moderate pickup in the second half of the year. Half of the 10 measures that the Conference Board compiles into its index showed improvement, four declined, and one was steady.

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