‘WSJ’ survey: Economists see few monetary policy changes with Powell leading Fed

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Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal this month expect that a Federal Reserve led by Jerome Powell would mean little change in monetary policy and a less aggressive approach to financial regulation.

Most survey respondents expect the Fed to raise short-term interest rates next month and lift them three times next year and twice in 2019, in quarter-percentage-point moves. That would match the projections penciled in by Fed officials in September. They will update those forecasts at their next scheduled meeting, Dec. 12-13.

President Donald Trump last week nominated Powell, a Fed governor, to serve as the next central bank chairman after Janet Yellen’s term as chief expires in February.

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Overall, economists expressed few qualms about Powell at the helm, with almost 96% saying he is qualified to lead the Fed. Powell, a lawyer, has worked at an investment bank, at the U.S. Treasury Department, as a partner in a private-equity firm and as a Fed governor since 2012.

The Wall Street Journal surveyed 59 economists Nov. 3-7. Not every economist answered every question. Read the full story (subscription may be required).

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