US retailer group sees this year’s holiday sales up at least 4%

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U.S. holiday sales will increase between 4.3% and 4.8% this year, aided by a boost from a strong economy, according to a forecast from The National Retail Federation.

The latest forecast compares with an average annual increase of 3.9% over the past five years, Reuters reports.

The retail trade group expects sales to be between $717.45 billion and $720.89 billion—excluding autos, gasoline and dining out—for the last two months of the year.

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NRF’s forecast is one of the most closely watched benchmarks ahead of the holiday season, when retailers like Macy’s, Walmart and Target generate an outsized portion of their profits and sales.   

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